Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Mar 6, 2025

Updated Mar 7, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 5.1 clip, Austin Reaves's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 7.0 per game.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.7% on threes (highest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, branding this as a positive matchup.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 7.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 2.6 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.

Favors Under

The 4th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo away offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the New York Knicks is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game this year (4th-least in the league).

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