Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 27, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has totaled 24.2 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.1 more than he's totaled overall this year at home.
In comparison to last year's 1.8 mark, Austin Reaves's 3-pointers converted have jumped this year to 2.6 per game.
Austin Reaves has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The Lakers check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.6).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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