Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 7.1 3-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 5.1 rate last year.
Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
Austin Reaves has made 90.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

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