Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has converted an impressive 2.6 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.8 rate last season.
Austin Reaves has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Lakers rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a good one for three-point shots; when the Nets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (3.5).
Austin Reaves has converted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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