Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 16.4 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive production.
The Lakers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves has made 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home.

Favors Under

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).

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