Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 1.8 rate, Austin Reaves's three-pointers converted have jumped this year to 2.6 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.0 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 47.2% field goal percentage comes in as the 10th-highest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making this a positive matchup.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 16 games away from home.

Favors Under

The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).
The Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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