Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 7.5 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.
In terms of scoring, the Lakers's superb 47.3% field goal rate rates 9th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Lakers.
Austin Reaves has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 19.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on three-pointers (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Austin Reaves should see a decline in output for all stats considering being on the road in this contest.

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