Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 16, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves places in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, creating a favorable matchup.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New Orleans is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 free throws per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home (least in the league).
Austin Reaves is expected to see a decline in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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