Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has sunk 2.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Austin Reaves has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, designating this as a positive matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Austin Reaves will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production across the board.

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