Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 8, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 6.2 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 121.8 points per game places most in the league over the last 25 games.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
Austin Reaves has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (3rd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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