Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has successfully made 2.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.7 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 122.0 points per game rates 2nd-most in the league over the last 25 games.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to boost plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The matchup against Milwaukee is a hard one; when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home, they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 25 games (13.3).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home (9th-least in the league).
Austin Reaves should see a decline in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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