Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 11.4 shots per game this year, significantly more than his 8.6 mark last year.
Austin Reaves has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
With respect to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 122.2 points per game measures as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 46.2% on three-pointers (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, branding this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the 76ers, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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