Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has converted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
Austin Reaves has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
With respect to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 122.6 points per game comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1).
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.

Favors Under

The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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