Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has sunk 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
As it relates to scoring, the Lakers's outstanding 123.0 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 15 games.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
Austin Reaves has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.4% higher than he's made over the course of the year while playing at home.

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.5 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).

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