Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 30, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves places in the 79th percentile, putting up a whopping 14.5 points per game when playing on the road this year.
Austin Reaves has sunk 46.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.6% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Austin Reaves has averaged 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 4.7 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves stands to suffer a drop-off in production across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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