Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves measures in the 79th percentile, averaging a monstrous 14.8 points per game when playing on the road this year.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 44.8% of his treys over the last 10 games, 8.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Austin Reaves has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.5 more than he's committed overall this season on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 24.8% on 3-pointers (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Rockets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves should experience a decrease in output across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.