Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 3:22 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has registered 15.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 80th percentile.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers rank 6thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 9 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has missed 3.8 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 23.6% on three-pointers (15th-worst in the NBA) against the Raptors, branding this as a hard matchup.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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