Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has scored 14.3 points per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
In terms of scoring, the Lakers's remarkable 118.8 points per game comes in as the 8th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a hard one for 3-pointers; the other team has shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (33.9%).
The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road.
Austin Reaves has sunk 88.5% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted 28.0 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.