Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has logged 15.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 79th percentile.
When it comes to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 48.8% field goal rate ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.
Austin Reaves has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.7% more than he's converted overall this season.
Austin Reaves will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Hornets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 24.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the NBA).

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