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Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves lands in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a lowly 1.4 fouls per game on the road this year.

In regard to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 49.1% field goal rate when playing away from home measures as the 5th-best in the league this year.

The 10th-speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Pistons have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should boost opportunities for the Lakers.

This year, opposing teams have nabbed 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 51.2% rate, Austin Reaves's shooting effectiveness has regressed this year to 45.7%.

The matchup against the Pistons is a strong one; they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the league to the other team this year (117.7).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

This matchup is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Detroit Pistons are on their home court, the other team has attempted a colossal 27.6 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league).

Austin Reaves is expected to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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