Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (23rd percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing teams have compiled the 8th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.7%).
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves lands in the 79th percentile for free throws drained away from home, posting an enormous 2.8 per game this year.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has made a mere 45.8% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 51.2 mark last season.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing on the road, the Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 24.1 free throws per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.