Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 3:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has converted 54.2% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.6% more than he's converted overall this season.
The Lakers have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Lakers's excellent 26.5 foul shot attempts per game when playing on the road places best in the NBA since the start of last season.
Austin Reaves will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 51.2% mark, Austin Reaves's field goal efficiency has decreased this year to 44.9%.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 10th-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Utah Jazz).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (maintaining possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted 24.3 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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