Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 11.2 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 8.6 rate last year.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 78th percentile.
In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 49.0% field goal percentage while on the road rates 8th-most in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).
Austin Reaves will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has totaled 15.3 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 3.5 rate, Austin Reaves's foul shots sunk have dropped this season to 2.6 per game.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have attempted 24.5 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.