Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 8.6 rate, Austin Reaves's shots from the field have increased this year to 11.1 per game.
This year, opposing clubs have totaled 31.5 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, resulting in a hard matchup.
As a team, the Lakers have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe when playing away from home: best in the league since the start of last season, totaling 26.5 foul shot attempts per game.
Austin Reaves stands to see an increase in performance across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has been called for 0.0 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league while traveling this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 7thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves has converted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.5 mark last season.

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