Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 4, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has converted 50.5% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 10.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year away from home.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 25th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.6).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The Warriors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Austin Reaves will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production in all facets of the game.