Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has sunk 55.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 15.8% more than he's made from downtown overall this year away from his home court.
Austin Reaves has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should increase plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league on the road this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest FG% in the league this year (41.9%).
On their home court, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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