Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has made 52.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 12.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Austin Reaves has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.
Austin Reaves has sunk 6.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 2.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (16.6).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 9 games at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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