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Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Austin Reaves has sunk 71.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 19.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Austin Reaves has made 58.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 19.7% more than he's made from downtown overall this year away from home.

Austin Reaves has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Rockets are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.4).

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of threes.

The Rockets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.

While playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Jalen Green is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when defending opposing starting SGs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game (17th percentile).

Austin Reaves will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance across the board.

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