Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:48 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's posted overall this season.
Austin Reaves has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's played overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has attempted and missed 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's missed from downtown overall this year while at home.
This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are away from home, opposing squads have compiled the 6th-highest three percentage in the league against them this year (36.5%).
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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