Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has scored 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's scored overall this year.
Austin Reaves has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has failed to convert 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's missed from downtown overall this year with the home court advantage.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (39.3).
The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; when the Warriors are away from home, their opposition have attempted an enormous 25.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (7th-most in the NBA).