Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has scored 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's scored overall this season.
Austin Reaves has converted 40.3% of his attempts from downtown while on the road this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; their opposition have shot for the 3rd-highest Field Goal% in the league over the last 5 games (51.8%).
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player performance for all stats.

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