Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Austin Reaves has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for field goals; opposing clubs have tallied the 2nd-least baskets per game in the league this year (37.9).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has failed to make 2.6 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's missed from three over the course of the season while at home.
This matchup is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have averaged the 10th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (35.3).
The Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which should decrease opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, their opposition have attempted a massive 25.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (7th-most in the NBA).

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