Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Austin Reaves has successfully made a whopping 2.5 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.6 rate last season.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has failed to convert 3.4 attempts from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's missed from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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