Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 15.8 points per game over the last 10 games at home, 3.8 higher than he's posted over the course of the season at home.
Austin Reaves has attempted 4.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to field goals.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
While playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; the other team have compiled the 4th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (37.1%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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