Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 28, 2025 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has tallied 5.6 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 94th percentile.
Austin Reaves has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Austin Reaves is expected to experience a decrease in output for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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