Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 16, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has put up 5.3 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent days: 93rd percentile.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves places in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves is expected to see a decline in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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