Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has compiled 6.4 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's compiled in all games this year.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Austin Reaves figures to see a rise in efficiency for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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