Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 5.3 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league leaders by this standard recently: 92nd percentile.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
Austin Reaves will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).

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