Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 5.2 assists per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch of games.
Austin Reaves has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Lakers have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 higher than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).
The Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
Austin Reaves will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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