Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-154/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has compiled 5.1 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric in recent games.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has brought down 7.8 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (shortening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.

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