Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has put up 5.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the hottest players in the league in this category recently.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Lakers will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

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