Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has compiled 4.9 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 90th percentile.
The 3rd-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The Lakers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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