Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has tallied 4.6 assists per game while at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has captured 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (retaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
Austin Reaves stands to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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