Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has totaled a terrific 4.9 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.6 assists per game last season.
The fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
While at home, the Rockets have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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