Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted an impressive 4.6 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.6 assists per game last year.
Austin Reaves has averaged 1.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
While at home, the Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves stands to see a spike in production in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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