Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 10:14 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+124/-161).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -161.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged a whopping 3.6 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.8 assists per game last season.
Relative to his full-season mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Austin Reaves's playing time has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games minutes per game.
The Lakers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per home game, Austin Reaves's rate of personal fouls has risen by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 5 games at home.
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to decrease plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Austin Reaves will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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