Ausar Thompson Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Steals

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 1.7 steals per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Ausar Thompson should experience a decrease in output across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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