Ausar Thompson Steals - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Steals

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+185/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -215 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.5 steals per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Ausar Thompson ought to see a spike in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.

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