Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 6.8 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Bucks).

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