Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 3:44 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has put up just 3.1 defensive boards per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.3 defensive boards per game last season.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
Ausar Thompson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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